Tag Archive | "EUR"

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Let Me Introduce You to the Seven Major Currencies…and the Dollar

Posted on 13 August 2008 by Alex

The most important part of investing is to clearly understand what you’re investing in. In the currency world, most currency traders will talk about the “seven” majors.

The seven majors are the currencies that are traded most often on major brokerage desks around the world. The seven majors are generally paired with the dollar, so technically, the U.S. dollar would count as the eighth “major.”
Here’s a quick 30 second introduction to each of the major currencies…

U.S. Dollar (USD): The majority of trades in the Forex market involve the U.S. dollar against a different currency because it is currently used as the world’s reserve currency.

Euro (EUR): This is the new kid of the currency majors. Lately, the euro has been stepping up to take its place as a reference currency, as well as a larger component of foreign reserves by banks. It is also known as the anti-dollar because the euro tends to appreciate as the dollar depreciates.

Japanese Yen (JPY): The yen has been known as the carry-trade currency because for years, investors have borrowed yen to fund their carry-trades. Because Japan imports all of its oil, when crude oil prices begin to climb this hurts its economy and greatly impacts the value of the yen.

Swiss Franc (CHF): Also known as Swissie, it is sometimes called a ‘safe heaven,’ due to Switzerland’s independent stance, economy isolation, and strong private banking system. This in turn has made their currency very neutral.

The British pound (GBP): Frequently called, Cable or Sterling, the pound first got these nicknames because it was the first currency the Forex market traded through ‘cables’ across the Atlantic. The pound is the fourth most traded currency on the market and Great Britain’s economy is one of the strongest in Europe.

Canadian dollar (CAD): This currency’s unusual nickname, the Loonie, comes from the coins appearance which features a loon, a common Canadian bird, on the coins backside. Canada is a resource-focused economy, so the price of oil drives this currency along with commodities.

Australian dollar (AUD): Known as the Aussie, this currency is popular in the Forex market because of Australia’s currently high interest rates and generally stable economy. The Australian dollar is greatly influenced and driven by gold prices.

New Zealand dollar (NZD): Also known as the “kiwi,” the New Zealand dollar traditionally tracks the Aussie dollar’s path because these economies are tied together through exports. However, sometimes the New Zealand can fall while the Aussie dollar rises as we have recently witnessed.

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Growing Positivity From the US Markets Causes EUR to Loose Ground

Posted on 08 August 2008 by Alex

EUR
 
  Growing Positivity From the US Markets Causes EUR to Loose Ground.
 
  The Euro finished yesterday’s trading session with mixed results versus its major currency rivals. Euro-Zone fundamental data continues to disappoint investors, despite the obvious strength the Euro still holds over other world currencies. There is little question that the outlook of Euro-Zone economy has faltered recently, and coupled with the lack of significant intervention from the European Central Bank, the Euro’s biggest rival, the dollar, has made a bullish run yet again. Also adding to Euro problems is the near 100% correlation between EUR/USD bearishness and Crude Oil. The unprecedented drop in Crude Oil prices, nearly 30 dollars in over 3 weeks, has pushed the Euro down, regardless of home data.

Yesterday, the Euro-Zone produced another day of poor data as Services PMI was unchanged from its 5 year low at 48.3 and Retail Sales lost 0.6% form last months revised rise of 0.5%. With growing positivity from the US economy the Euro was unable to hold steady against the greenback as it lost ground for yet another day.

Today only one indicator will be released from the Euro-Zone economy. The German Factory Orders indicator is predicted to rise from by 0.4%, a 1.5% difference in change from last months near 1% drop. This indicator measures the value of new purchase orders placed with domestic manufacturers for durable and non-durable goods and is an accurate pre-cursor for overall European movement. Still annual rates are expected to drop by just under 5% and will likely be drowned out by today’s European market response to yesterdays FOMC statement.

Investors could see some recovery today from the Euro as many feel that yesterday’s lack of real purposeful change from the Federal Reserve will rollback some dollar profits.

 
  JPY
 
  Core Machinery Orders on Tap.
 
  The Yen completed yesterday’s trading session with a batch of mixed results within its pairs and crosses. The JPY opened at 107.80 v. the USD then devalued 53 points before closing the day at 108.33. This fluctuating movement was similar to most of the JPY’s crosses as well. Yesterday, Japan was absent from the economic calendar as no indicators were not published. Most of the bearish JPY movement from yesterday, most notably against the greenback came from another day of rising trends in US equity markets.

Today, two indicators are forecasted to be released from the Asian powerhouse. The Leading Economic Index is derived from many sectors such as employment, production, and consumer confidence and is projected to come in at 90.8%, lower than previously recorded. Also on tap we can expect Core Machinery Orders, which is expected to drop just under 10% from last month, indicating to investors that the manufacturing industry is in a contraction phase.

Forex traders could be in store for another day of JPY volatility as equity markets look to respond to lingering effects of yesterday’s FOMC statements and today’s energy price movements and inventories.

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