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INTERNATIONAL GOLDFIELDS LIMITED.. (IGC)

Posted on 07 July 2008 by Alex

 

INTERNATIONAL GOLDFIELDS LIMITED.. (IGC)

Sector Materials
Index N/A
Market Capitalisation $56m
Strategy
Recommended Date 7/7/2008
Share Price * $0.45
12 Month Price Target $0.85
Suggested Stop Loss $0.32
* Price at close of trade on 2/07/2008
 
Recommendation Spec Buy Buy Add Hold Sell
Risk Rating Low Medium High
 
How many shares do I buy?
Our trade size calculation is:
 

Amount ($) you are prepared to risk
 
Market Price - $0.45

Note: Amount ($) you are prepared to risk is typically 2-3% of the TOTAL amount you have to invest.

Checklist

 

 . Resource value

  Summary  

International Gold Field (IGC) is a mineral exploration and development company. During the year 2007, the Company began divesting from its Western Australian gold interests and commenced earning a right into the Genorah Platinum farms in South Africa.

 

Background

RESULTS BY INDUSTRY Revenue B/Down ROS ROA
Gold Exploration 100.0% -82.9%  
Platinum Exploaration 100.0% 0.0%  
RESULTS BY GEOGRAPHY Revenue B/Down ROS ROA
Australia 100.0% 0.0%  
South Africa 100.0% 0.0%  

Investment Summary
INTERNATIONAL GOLDFIELDS LIMITED.. (IGC) has been on our radar for some time now, and we believe the time is now right to recommend the stock as a ‘spec buy’.

 

INTERNATIONAL GOLDFIELDS LIMITED.. (IGC)

INTERNATIONAL GOLDFIELDS LIMITED (IGC)

Top section of chart - price performance

The top section of the chart displays the price history and 20 period moving average of the security compared to the S&P/ASX 200 for the requested period of time. To allow comparison between the performance of the security and the S&P/ASX200, the index level has been set to the same starting point as the security.

S&P/ASX 200 is the default index, but the users may change this to any of the real time indices by selecting from the dropdown list. In some cases users may wish to compare the performance of two securities.

 Red line: The red line on the chart plots the price of the primary security over the requested time frame. The actual price level is shown on the right axis. Note: The chart may not show actual share prices as share prices are adjusted.

 Dark blue line: Generally the dark blue line on the chart represents the value of the S&P/ASX 200 over the selected time period. However, if a security is being compared to another security, the dark blue line on the chart represents the value of the secondary security, As mentioned above the level of the index has been adjusted so it starts from the same level as the security. The performance of the Index is measured on the left axis.

 Light blue line: The horizontal light blue line running across the chart represents the starting level for the securities and/or the Index.

Burgundy line: The burgundy line represents the 20 period moving average for the security. See the 20 period moving average section below for further explanation.

Bottom section of chart - volume information

The bottom section of the chart displays the turnover level for the security over the selected time frame. The level of turnover may be read from either the left or right axis depending on the colour of the bar.

Dark green bars: Where a dark green bar represents the turnover the level of turnover is read from the left axis.

Pink bars: Where a pink bar represents the turnover the level of turnover is read from the right axis.

The reason for the two axes is that the volume multiplier changes depending on which axis the turnover is read from, for example the left axis may have a multiplier of 100 (represented by x00) and the right axis may have a multiplier of 1,000 (represented by x000).

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White Energy Company Ltd (WEC)

Posted on 27 June 2008 by Alex

White Energy Company Ltd (WEC)

Sector Energy
Index All Ords
Market Capitalisation $500m
Strategy
Recommended Date 23/6/2008
Share Price * $3.65
12 Month Price Target $7.30
Suggested Stop Loss $2.05
* Price at close of trade on 23/06/2008
 
Recommendation Spec Buy Buy Add Hold Sell
Risk Rating Low Medium High
 
How many shares do I buy?
Our trade size calculation is:

Amount ($) you are prepared to risk
 
Market Price - $2.04

Note: Amount ($) you are prepared to risk is typically 2-3% of the TOTAL amount you have to invest.

Checklist

  • Management have shown a solid ability to raise capital, often at a premium price, and secure strong strategic shareholders while the technology is commercialised.
  • The company has $55m in funding available with support from BHP Billiton, who last year took up a $35m convertible note.
  • Near term Share price drives include the feasibility result from the US JV and the start of production at the Cessnock ‘showcase’ plant.
  • Insiders control 34% of stock, and the share register is tight with the top 20 accounting for 89% of shares on issue.
  • The stock has made a bullish break from a year long consolidation pattern.
  Summary

White Energy’s BCB technology allows low quality or ‘sub bituminous’ coals to be upgraded to a higher quality product known as ‘bituminous’ coal. Higher quality coals contain more energy, which attracts a higher sales price, and contain less moisture, making them lighter and less costly to transport. Transportation is one of the biggest cost drivers in coal mining. In addition to these financial incentives, White Energy’s technology has environmental benefits, as the upgraded coal gives off fewer emissions when burned and carries less dust and ash compared to both unprocessed high and low quality coals. Of the four JV’s currently established, that with Indonesia’s 8th largest coal miner, Bayan Resources Group, to operate the Tabang coal mine in East Kalimantan is the most advanced. The structure of this JV provides clues as to how others could be established. White Energy has a 51% interest in the Bayan JV, and funds its share of the capital costs associated with plant construction in return for a proportional share in profits generated by the mine. In addition White Energy receives a 9% royalty payment on all sales. After taking capital costs into account this structure could provide White Energy with a 15% profit margin on sales of upgraded coal.

Background
White Energy is the exclusive worldwide license holder of the Binderless Coal Briquetting (BCB) process that upgrades relatively poor, high moisture coals and significantly increases their energy efficiency. The technology was developed by the CSIRO throughout the 1990’s. White Energy is in the process of commercialising its technology and is currently constructing a major commercial plant in Indonesia. In addition to its Indonesian focus, it is actively pursuing opportunities to deploy its technology across various markets including China, India, South Africa and North America.

Investment Summary
White Energy has been on our radar for some time now, and we believe the time is now right to recommend the stock as a ‘spec buy’. The stock has made a bullish break from a long consolidation phase and we anticipate that completion of the feasibility process in regard to its US JV, and the commissioning of its local small scale production plant at Cessnock, both targeted for June, will be key catalysts in driving the stock higher in the near term as investors realise the company’s future earnings potential. The absence of any current or near term earnings is a key risk facing the stock, as the company’s market cap is a hefty $660m on a fully diluted basis, which suggests that negative feedback from current feasibility studies could have a severe impact on the share price. However with the company supported by the likes of BHP Billiton, we are comfortable with the risks involved. The key to White Energy’s future growth hinges on the successful commissioning and rollout of its initial plants, after which increasing capacity, additional plant construction, and establishing more JV’s will become the focus. With over 30Mtpa worth of demand in the pipeline, the company’s earnings potential will be very strong should premium coal prices remain strong.

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Cue Energy Resources Limited (CUE)

Posted on 22 June 2008 by Alex

Cue Energy Resources Limited (CUE)

Sector Energy
Index none
Market Capitalisation $148m
Strategy
Recommended Date 28/4/2008
Share Price * $0.25
12 Month Price Target $0.42
Suggested Stop Loss $0.15
* Price at close of trade on 28/04/2008
 
Recommendation Spec Buy Buy Add Hold Sell
Risk Rating Low Medium High
 
How many shares do I buy?
Our trade size calculation is:

Amount ($) you are prepared to risk
 
Market Price - $0.14

Note: Amount ($) you are prepared to risk is typically 2-3% of the TOTAL amount you have to invest.

 
 Checklist

  • Management are veterans of the oil and gas sector and have overseen the development of the company’s assets through exploration to production stages.
  • Should oil prices remain firm, the company could generate in excess of $100m in revenues within the next two years.
  • Revenues from Oyong, first production from Maari, and a third drill hole at the Wortel gas field are expected to be key share price drivers in the short term.
  • Major shareholders include Todd Energy NZ (25%) and Singapore Petroleum (14.06%).
  • The stock appears to be breaking out of a 5 month consolidation pattern, and from a multiyear perspective is moving within a symmetrical triangle pattern.
  Summary

Cue Energy Resources aims to drive share holder value by developing its established and geographically diversified hydrocarbon inventory towards production. After years of exploration and appraisal, its total proven and probable (2P) oil reserves now stand at 3.49million barrels, while 2P gas reserves stand at 365billion cubic feet (bcf). Cue already receives revenues from its minority share in the SE Gobe oil field in PNG. However the company’s growth prospects hinge on the development of its other oil and gas assets, particularly the Oyong in Indonesia and the Maari Oil Field in New Zealand. Oil production at Oyong has already commenced, while first oil is expected at Maari in Q308. On going development of projects and the onset of additional revenues are expected to be key share price drivers during the year ahead.

Background
Cue Energy Resources (CUE) is an emerging oil and gas producer with a focus on Australia, New Zealand, and South East Asia. Cue intends to grow its value in excess of $500m by developing a range of exploration and near term production assets. Given the company’s relatively large market cap, production setbacks or lower than expected flow rates are key risks facing the stock, along with oil and gas prices. However the company’s very large undeveloped gas reserves should provide valuation support over the longer term.

Investment Summary
The commencement of first oil production from the Oyong field in Indonesia in September last year timed well with the oil price surging to record highs. The next phase of development at Oyong will involve extraction of its gas reserves which stand at 80-103bcf. First production at a rate of 60m cubic feet per day is targeted for Q309. Boosting the potential for gas production at Oyong, was a nearby discovery known as Wortel. Wortel’s close proximity to Oyong allows the possibility of developing Wortel gas through Oyong facilities, with Wortel gas potentially coming on stream at the same time as Oyong gas. Cue’s other key development is its 5% interest in the Maari oil field in NZ, which is due to commence production in Q308 with full production by early 2009. In addition to Maari, the Wortel and Oyong gas fields will attract much of the market’s focus over the year ahead. However from a longer term perspective, we are encouraged by the fact that Cue’s estimated gas reserves at Wortel and Oyong form only 6.6% of the company’s overall estimated gas portfolio.

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South Boulder Mines Ltd (STB)

Posted on 22 June 2008 by Alex

Issue Date June  10, 2008
South Boulder Mines Ltd (STB)

Sector Materials
Index N/A
Market Capitalisation $12.8m
Strategy
Recommended Date 10/6/2008
Share Price * $0.375
12 Month Price Target $0.50
Suggested Stop Loss $0.18
* Price at close of trade on 01/06/2008
 
Recommendation Spec Buy Buy Add Hold Sell
Risk Rating Low Medium High
 
How many shares do I buy?
Our trade size calculation is:

Amount ($) you are prepared to risk
 
Market Price - $0.17

Note: Amount ($) you are prepared to risk is typically 2-3% of the TOTAL amount you have to invest.

 
Checklist

  • Recent management changes have brought the founder of Western Areas (WSA) to the board.
  • Lake Disappointment East sits next to Reward Minerals huge Lake Disappointment tenement.
  • The company has aligned itself with the current boom in potash and phosphate.
  • The top 20 shareholders hold 45.4% of issued capital.
  • The stock appears to be in a new bullish channel.
  Summary

South Boulder Mines is a exploration company operating in Australia with tenements that cover areas prospective for phosphate, potash, nickel, gold, and uranium. Increases in demand and prices for bulk fertilizer have prompted South Boulder to switch its exploration focus away from gold, nickel and base metals. Since February the company has acquired a number of phosphate and potash projects that have the potential to produce economic resources. Prices for potash and phosphate are booming as they are key ingredients in fertilizer production, prompting a flare up in sentiment towards the sector. It is very early days at South Boulder and production is not yet in sight, however in the stocks favour is the location of its projects and its very small market capitalisation of just $13.36m.

Background
The company’s primary asset is the 100% owned Lake Disappointment East Potash project, which is conveniently located right next to Reward Mineral’s (ASX code: RWD) Potash deposit which hosts a JORC compliant potash resource of over 27Mt. The company is still awaiting the official grant of an exploration license to commence ground work, however we view this as simply a formality. The company has already overcome any impediments to attaining the grant by securing an access agreement with the native land owners that permits exploration. Once the license has been granted drilling will commence, possibly in September, to define a JORC resource which could be announced as early as the end of this year. It is important to note that a separate agreement will need to be struck with the land owners if the company decides to proceed with a mining campaign in the future.

Investment Summary
Since re-defining itself South Boulder has acquired 4 phosphate and potash areas in Western Australia and the Northern Territory. In Western Australia the company has prospective licenses in Lake Disappointment East, Cardabia, and in The Canning Basin. In Northern Territory the company is vying for 7 licenses within the Georgina Basin. The company has 4 prospects in Cardabia covering 1,466 square kilometres. Drilling by CRA Exploration Pty Ltd in 1989 – 1990 returned results mostly ranging from 20% to 35% P205. STB is currently awaiting a mining grant and once this is given exploration work will begin which should happen later this year. In The Canning Basin the company has 4 prospects, one for phosphate and three for potash. At the phosphate project one drill hole was made in the 1980’s which intersected low grade phosphate at depths but higher grade phosphate may exist closer to surface. Exploration for potash was conducted by BHP in the early 1980’s. At the moment South Boulder is still awaiting native title and a mining grant. Finally, the company recently applied for 7 prospective licenses within the Georgina Basin of the Northern Territory covering 5,762 square kilometres. The licenses are yet to be awarded, but are in close proximity to known phosphate deposits with the most famous one being Minemakers (ASX code: MAK) Wonarah deposit which has a JORC resource of almost 2 billion tonnes at 14.4% P2O5. STB resides in the same building in Perth as Minemakers and shares a Director. Exploration by a previous owner has returned drilling results of 6.1m at 15.6% phosphate from 49m and 3.8m at 13% phosphate from 53m.

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