Currencies and the Law of Relativity

Posted on 29 November 2008 by Alex

Currencies and the Law of Relativity

We live in a world made up entirely of fiat currencies. “Fiat” means “an arbitrary order or decree.” In other words, our money doesn’t derive its value from a particular good or basket of goods, but from the government decree that brings it into law.

So the value of these currencies isn’t fixed. Instead, it tends to fluctuate and vary, depending on everything from interest rates and policy decisions to exports and civil unrest. So if you want to know what a currency is worth at any given time, you just have to ask yourself, “What could it buy?”
 
A soda, a half-gallon of gas, a big mac etc. And we do the same thing in the Forex world when comparing currencies. A particular currency can only buy so many yen, so many Swiss francs, etc. 

So it stands to reason that if a currency’s exchange rate is falling, then another’s is rising. That’s the law of relativity when it comes to currencies. If the dollar’s exchange rate against the yen is declining, then you can buy less and less yen with your dollar. But at the same time, you’re able to buy more and more dollars with your yen.

This is where the idea of an eternal bull market comes from.

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