| EUR | |
| Growing Positivity From the US Markets Causes EUR to Loose Ground. | |
| The Euro finished yesterday’s trading session with mixed results versus its major currency rivals. Euro-Zone fundamental data continues to disappoint investors, despite the obvious strength the Euro still holds over other world currencies. There is little question that the outlook of Euro-Zone economy has faltered recently, and coupled with the lack of significant intervention from the European Central Bank, the Euro’s biggest rival, the dollar, has made a bullish run yet again. Also adding to Euro problems is the near 100% correlation between EUR/USD bearishness and Crude Oil. The unprecedented drop in Crude Oil prices, nearly 30 dollars in over 3 weeks, has pushed the Euro down, regardless of home data.
Yesterday, the Euro-Zone produced another day of poor data as Services PMI was unchanged from its 5 year low at 48.3 and Retail Sales lost 0.6% form last months revised rise of 0.5%. With growing positivity from the US economy the Euro was unable to hold steady against the greenback as it lost ground for yet another day. Today only one indicator will be released from the Euro-Zone economy. The German Factory Orders indicator is predicted to rise from by 0.4%, a 1.5% difference in change from last months near 1% drop. This indicator measures the value of new purchase orders placed with domestic manufacturers for durable and non-durable goods and is an accurate pre-cursor for overall European movement. Still annual rates are expected to drop by just under 5% and will likely be drowned out by today’s European market response to yesterdays FOMC statement. Investors could see some recovery today from the Euro as many feel that yesterday’s lack of real purposeful change from the Federal Reserve will rollback some dollar profits. |
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| JPY | |
| Core Machinery Orders on Tap. | |
| The Yen completed yesterday’s trading session with a batch of mixed results within its pairs and crosses. The JPY opened at 107.80 v. the USD then devalued 53 points before closing the day at 108.33. This fluctuating movement was similar to most of the JPY’s crosses as well. Yesterday, Japan was absent from the economic calendar as no indicators were not published. Most of the bearish JPY movement from yesterday, most notably against the greenback came from another day of rising trends in US equity markets.
Today, two indicators are forecasted to be released from the Asian powerhouse. The Leading Economic Index is derived from many sectors such as employment, production, and consumer confidence and is projected to come in at 90.8%, lower than previously recorded. Also on tap we can expect Core Machinery Orders, which is expected to drop just under 10% from last month, indicating to investors that the manufacturing industry is in a contraction phase. Forex traders could be in store for another day of JPY volatility as equity markets look to respond to lingering effects of yesterday’s FOMC statements and today’s energy price movements and inventories. |



